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Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics
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Articles

Sensitivity Analysis for Hierarchical Models Employing t Level-1 Assumptions

Michael Seltzer

University of California, Los Angeles

John Novak

Long Beach Unified School District

Kilchan Choi

University of California, Los Angeles

Nelson Lim

RAND Corporation

Much work on sensitivity analysis for hierarchical models (HMs) has focused on level-2 outliers (e.g., in multisite evaluations, a site at which an intervention was unusually successful). However, efforts to draw sound conclusions concerning parameters of interest in HMs also require that we attend to extreme level-1 units (e.g., a person in the treatment group at a particular site whose post-test score [yij ] is unusually small vis-á-vis the other members of that person’s group). One goal of this article is to examine the ways in which level-1 outliers can impact the estimation of fixed effects and random effects in HMs. A second goal is to outline and illustrate the use of Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms for conducting sensitivity analyses under t level-1 assumptions, including algorithms for settings in which the degrees of freedom at level 1 (v1 ) is treated as an unknown parameter.

Key Words: Keywords: Bayesian analysis • hierarchical models • Markov Chain Monte Carlo • Metropolis subchains • sensitivity analysis • t errors

Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, Vol. 27, No. 2, 181-222 (2002)
DOI: 10.3102/10769986027002181


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